Career Advantage Series: Who will win the 2023 Rugby World Cup?
| Date: | Tuesday 15 Aug, 4pm - 5pm |
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| Location: | Online Auckland New Zealand |
| Contact: | Belengagement@aut.ac.nz |
As Yogi Berra famously said: ‘It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future’. Obviously, we don’t know for certain who will win the 2023 Rugby World Cup, but it is possible to estimate probabilities of various outcomes occurring, such as the probability that the All Blacks will win the Rugby World Cup.
This presentation will demonstrate how an algorithm can be used to predict international rugby games, evaluate the performance of the algorithm at previous Rugby World Cups, and showcase the algorithm’s predictions for the 2023 tournament.
About Professor Niven Winchester
Professor Winchester is passionate about using quantitative analysis to make the world a better place. He is an expert in climate policy analysis using computable general equilibrium models. Using these techniques, he has assisted governments in several countries to develop strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. In New Zealand, Professor Winchester built the Climate Policy Analysis (C-PLAN) model used by the Climate Change Commission to provide policy advice for the government.
Professor Winchester also has an interest in sports economics. His research on sports ranking systems was the catalyst for the change to the bonus point system in The Rugby Championship and Super Rugby in 2016.